Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.859869 4.610126 5.446791 6.445976 7.603614 8.899361 10.456094
2025-07-20 2.861955 3.844528 5.053842 6.639047 8.648028 11.093823 14.279390
2025-07-27 2.297537 3.402168 4.875864 6.957017 9.786275 13.459787 18.544070
2025-08-03 1.817116 2.935461 4.537476 6.950645 10.433123 15.205092 22.148974
2025-08-10 1.410304 2.471997 4.096542 6.691952 10.643602 16.322817 24.956626
2025-08-17 1.115258 2.110253 3.728748 6.457254 10.816887 17.353616 27.680961
2025-08-24 0.932465 1.891383 3.539378 6.453279 11.310090 18.864441 31.200119
2025-08-31 0.791214 1.714274 3.384773 6.472083 11.821320 20.423546 34.894266
2025-09-07 0.664489 1.536621 3.196821 6.399237 12.157558 21.714814 38.248061
2025-09-14 0.534454 1.323409 2.906346 6.096976 12.054534 22.262158 40.421206
2025-09-21 0.457479 1.204746 2.775999 6.068262 12.421226 23.610204 43.999092
2025-09-28 0.391879 1.096690 2.648250 6.023621 12.745882 24.899749 47.556109
2025-10-05 0.367523 1.083009 2.720072 6.394696 13.906502 27.783392 54.136359
2025-10-12 0.332020 1.034095 2.707862 6.591007 14.748997 30.160854 59.996473
2025-10-19 0.308554 1.011273 2.750635 6.908422 15.860543 33.114222 67.090488
2025-10-26 0.268639 0.933812 2.652486 6.902542 16.309836 34.851011 72.063302
2025-11-02 0.221871 0.824001 2.456008 6.645568 16.203622 35.505389 75.048018
2025-11-09 0.183928 0.729825 2.281169 6.412349 16.118155 36.183275 78.107796
2025-11-16 0.161033 0.677289 2.206178 6.408411 16.532567 37.884224 83.247280
2025-11-23 0.142008 0.632361 2.143926 6.427103 16.997478 39.717119 88.754969
2025-11-30 0.122633 0.580196 2.051387 6.354705 17.242457 41.105580 93.451806
2025-12-07 0.099819 0.507075 1.882207 6.054308 16.914386 41.250063 95.617655
2025-12-14 0.087183 0.470070 1.816444 6.025771 17.239507 42.822767 100.826420